12Scenario Planning
Plan for the year you get, not just the year you hope for.
We prepare your business for uncertainty by building scenarios and running sensitivity analysis, so your financial plans hold up across a range of market conditions.
Scenario Planning
Sample dataScenarios
3
Base, up, down
Downside cash low
$180K
Month 9
Triggers
5
Early warnings
What you get
Four deliverables you keep.
Best, base and worst cases ready, with the moves you'll make in each.
Three scenarios
Base, upside and downside, each fully modeled through cash.
Sensitivity table
Which assumptions move your results the most.
Playbook
The pre-agreed actions for each scenario, so you move fast.
Early warning signs
The indicators that tell you which scenario you're in.
How it works
Three steps from first call to handover.
Step 01
Find the big swings
We identify the assumptions that matter most.
Step 02
Model the cases
Each scenario runs through P&L, balance sheet and cash.
Step 03
Write the playbook
We agree on actions before you need them.
Sample output
What the work looks like.
A simplified mock of one deliverable from this service. The figures are sample data for a made-up business, not a client's.
- Three scenarios
- Sensitivity table
- Playbook
- Early warning signs
Scenario comparison, year end
Each case run through P&L and cash
| Line | Downside | Base | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.6M | $4.2M | $4.9M |
| Gross margin | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Operating profit | $0.12M | $0.46M | $0.83M |
| Year-end cash | $0.18M | $0.52M | $0.94M |
| Planned move | Pause hiring | Hold plan | Add a crew |
FAQ
Questions about scenario planning
Isn't this only for big companies?
Smaller businesses have less cushion, so knowing your downside matters even more.
Do we need to change our accounting software?
No. We work from what you already use, such as QuickBooks, Xero or spreadsheets, and connect cloud FP&A tools on top when they help.
How long until we see something useful?
It depends on your data and scope. Before any work starts, you get a written plan with dates for each deliverable.
Related · Plan & Forecast
Where this leads next.
- 01Plan & Forecast
Financial Modeling & Analysis
Test a hire, a price change or a new location before you commit to it.
Sample dataExplore Financial Modeling & Analysis - 02Plan & Forecast
Budgeting & Forecasting
An annual budget tied to your goals and a rolling forecast that adjusts as the year moves.
Sample dataExplore Budgeting & Forecasting - 03Plan & Forecast
Strategic Planning & Implementation
Growth goals turned into a funded, dated plan your leadership team can run.
Sample dataExplore Strategic Planning & Implementation
Book a call
Let's look at your numbers.
Tell us what's going on with your business. We'll email you to set up a free 30-minute discovery call about scenario planning.
Monday to Friday, 8:00am to 5:00pm
Prefer the full form? Go to Book a call